第74回数理工学センター（MCME）セミナー

武蔵野大学数理工学センターでは，次の通りMCMEセミナーを開催いたします．

参加をご希望の方は，下記の「詳細WEB」より 8/4までに参加登録をお願いいたします．
皆様のご参加をお待ちしております．

====== 第74回MCMEセミナー  ハイブリッド開催のご案内 ======

開催日時：2024年8月5日(月)15:00~16:30
開催地 ：武蔵野大学有明キャンパス 4号館412教室（ハイブリッド開催）
参加登録締切：8月4日

【講演者】Professor  Jong-Shenq Guo (Tamkang University)
【演　題】Spreading dynamics for an epidemic model of West-Nile virus with shifting environment

講演要旨：We study the disease-spreading dynamics of the West Nile virus (WNv) epidemic model
under shifting climatic conditions.A WNv epidemic model is developed incorporating a shifting net growth term
to depict the evolving mosquito habitat. First, we comprehensively characterize the spreading dynamics
of mosquitoes for any given climate change speed compared with the intrinsic spreading speed of mosquitoes.
Utilizing the results from mosquito dynamics, we determine the spreading dynamics of infected birds and mosquitoes,
taking into account relationships among the shifting speed and the spreading speeds of mosquito and WNv.
Ultimately, we find that infected mosquitoes and birds propagate, and their population densities converge to
a stable positive endemic state. This paper provides crucial insights into the impact of climate change
on the spread of vector-borne diseases such as WNv.
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